trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 40% | 0% | -11.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 40% | 0% | -11.2% |
| all | 26 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 38% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $43 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $37 | −$1 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $34 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $35 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Dec 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | Nov 14 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 14 | $2 | $0 | -15% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 24 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA? | Oct 23 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Oct 11 | $27 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Oct 06 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | Oct 05 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Oct 05 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 05 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | Oct 02 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 02 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 30 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025? | Sep 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Sep 30 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 29 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 29 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |