Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:21:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5df…da1f
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$22 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$418
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage14d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 63¢ $299 $319 +$20 (+7%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$2 -46%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $100 +$7 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% +$19
world 20% +$5
politics 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 1h
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $303 3d
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? SELL No 8¢ $3 5d
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026? BUY No 14¢ $5 5d
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? BUY No 0¢ $2 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? SELL No 92¢ $107 14d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $100 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-51.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -72.9% -75.5% 0% 0% -64.7%
≤30d 3 -46.3% -51.4% 33% 0% -7.3%
≤90d 3 -46.3% -51.4% 33% 0% -7.3%
all 3 -46.3% -51.4% 33% 0% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.4% 0% -7.3%
10% -56.1% 0% -16.2%
15% -60.3% 0% -24.3%
20% -64.2% 0% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $418.37 · official $418.37 (match) · 7 history records