Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5d8…1022
crypto · 1250 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$217 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses803 / 446
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1249 / 1250
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day100.8
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$174
14 days+$217
30 days+$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 691 +4.2% -5.7% 66% 65% -5.1%
≤30d 1249 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 64% -6.5%
≤90d 1249 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 64% -6.5%
all 1249 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 64% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 64% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 58% -15.4%
15% -24.6% 46% -23.6%
20% -32.0% 35% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2128 history records