Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:27:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F5 0xf5d6…9b51 crypto 938 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,023 (-8%) realized −$2,023 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate49%460W / 478L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day77.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$195
7 days−$1,130
14 days−$408
30 days−$3,028
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 -16.4% -24.4% 65% 53% -28.4%
≤30d 781 -10.9% -19.4% 49% 33% -22.8%
≤90d 938 -5.8% -14.8% 49% 36% -13.4%
all 938 -5.8% -14.8% 49% 36% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 36% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 26% -21.7%
15% -30.4% 20% -29.2%
20% -37.2% 19% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$17 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,023
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses460 / 478
Open positions0
Markets (closed)938 / 938
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day77.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 938 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $100 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$14 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$11 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $121 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$4 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $20 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $20 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $83 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records