Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5ce…5584
other · 116 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$12 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses15 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage95d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$11
14 days+$31
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 12 $52 −$1 -1%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 12 $92 $0 -0%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $53 $0 -0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $100 −$2 -2%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $265 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? Jun 11 $44 $0 -1%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 11 $64 −$1 -2%
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI Jun 11 $48 −$1 -1%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 10 $44 −$1 -2%
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Jun 10 $9 $0 -4%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $364 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $58 $0 +0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $92 $0 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 07 $52 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $265 −$1 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 06 $110 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $265 +$2 +1%
Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $105 −$2 -2%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 05 $43 $0 -1%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 05 $112 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $43 $0 -0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 04 $108 −$1 -1%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 04 $9 $0 -0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 03 $56 +$50 +89%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 03 $40 −$1 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $48 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $500 −$1 -0%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $105 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $42 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $55 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $253 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $101 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $380 −$1 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $56 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $271 −$1 -0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $144 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $101 −$1 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 30 $41 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $45 $0 -0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 28 $44 $0 -1%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $605 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $57 $0 -0%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $59 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 27 $55 $0 +0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 23 $286 −$2 -1%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 22 $46 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom May 22 $166 −$1 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $47 $0 -1%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 22 $44 $0 -0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 21 $124 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 31% −$11
sports 25% −$14
politics 24% +$35
crypto 10% −$8
finance 4% −$4
economics 3% −$4
culture 2% −$2
world 1% −$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $41 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $51 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? BUY No 93¢ $52 8h
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $43 8h
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $43 13h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 96¢ $53 13h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 96¢ $53 19h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $51 20h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $52 26h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 96¢ $54 26h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $34 30h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 96¢ $21 30h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? SELL No 96¢ $43 31h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? BUY No 97¢ $44 37h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World SELL Yes 90¢ $62 38h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 92¢ $1 45h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 92¢ $57 45h
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 92¢ $6 45h
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI SELL No 93¢ $47 45h
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI BUY No 94¢ $48 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 96¢ $44 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 97¢ $44 2d
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? SELL No 95¢ $9 2d
Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? BUY No 98¢ $9 2d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 97¢ $52 2d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 97¢ $52 3d
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $48 3d
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $49 3d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $58 3d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 96¢ $58 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -1.0% -10.4% 17% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 60 +0.9% -8.7% 12% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 110 +0.4% -9.2% 14% 1% -9.6%
all 115 +0.3% -9.2% 13% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 1% -9.6%
10% -17.9% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.8% 1% -26.1%
20% -33.1% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.28 · official $41.28 (match) · 438 history records