Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5b3…4155
sports · 272 markets active 7d ago
3.0score
+$33,490 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33,490 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 272 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$33,091
30 days+$33,059
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% an Jun 05 $0 $0 -89%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more? Jun 05 $82 +$11 +13%
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and Jun 05 $3 −$1 -39%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% an Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 6% or more? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? Jun 05 $36 +$2 +5%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? Jun 05 $61 +$154 +254%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% Jun 05 $841 −$830 -99%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10 Jun 05 $101 −$50 -50%
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $350 −$235 -67%
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? Jun 04 $1,922 +$1,708 +89%
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial El Jun 04 $3,961 +$8,624 +218%
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E Jun 04 $9,172 +$17,197 +188%
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races? Jun 04 $185 +$173 +93%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 03 $6,465 +$2,777 +43%
Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government Jun 03 $63 −$56 -88%
Will the Democratic Party win 11 upper-level local government races? Jun 03 $37 −$37 -99%
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Jun 03 $3,397 −$82 -2%
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Jun 03 $521 +$1,612 +310%
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 03 $5,382 +$1,951 +36%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el Jun 03 $124 +$32 +26%
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el Jun 03 $546 −$245 -45%
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? Jun 03 $1,006 +$706 +70%
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election Jun 02 $1 +$1 +64%
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el Jun 02 $320 −$42 -13%
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election Jun 02 $36 +$1 +2%
Will the People Power Party win 6 or more seats in South Korea’s June Jun 01 $82 +$2 +2%
Will Lee Cheol-woo win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial E Jun 01 $40 +$5 +12%
Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Ele Jun 01 $40 +$9 +24%
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1,705 −$150 -9%
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by between 10 Jun 01 $114 +$36 +32%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? May 29 $35 +$2 +6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $129 −$129 -100%
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial May 29 $47 +$2 +4%
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election by 40% or mor May 28 $37 +$1 +4%
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election May 28 $37 +$1 +4%
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial May 28 $47 +$1 +3%
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election May 28 $37 +$1 +3%
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial electi May 28 $44 +$3 +7%
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by June 30, 2026? May 28 $27 +$7 +27%
Will Kim Jong-hoon win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? May 28 $573 +$78 +14%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? May 26 $3,739 +$1,476 +40%
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? May 26 $1,425 −$925 -65%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 25 $322 −$322 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $130 +$70 +54%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 24 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$74
politics 21% +$7,660
world 15% +$28,468
other 8% −$2,711
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% an SELL Yes $0 6d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? SELL Yes 100¢ $30 7d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? SELL Yes $1 7d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more? BUY Yes $1 7d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% an BUY Yes $0 7d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 6% an BUY Yes $1 7d
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? BUY Yes $4 7d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 7d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and BUY Yes $1 7d
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election? BUY Yes $2 7d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 6% or more? BUY Yes $1 7d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 7d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 7d
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $41 7d
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial El SELL Yes 100¢ $7,458 8d
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E SELL No 100¢ $4,957 8d
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E SELL No 100¢ $12,042 8d
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races? SELL Yes 90¢ $358 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $1 8d
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL Yes 97¢ $1,803 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $0 8d
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E SELL No 100¢ $207 8d
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E SELL No 100¢ $68 8d
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial E SELL No 100¢ $1,968 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $0 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $0 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $1 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $0 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% SELL Yes $9 8d
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10 SELL No 18¢ $51 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -69.0% -72.0% 17% 17% -4.1%
≤30d 77 -1.4% -10.8% 53% 39% +50.6%
≤90d 243 +1.3% -8.3% 52% 35% +21.7%
all 272 +3.0% -6.8% 54% 36% +14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 36% +14.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 29% +3.8%
15% -23.8% 23% -6.2%
20% -31.3% 18% -15.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records