Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T13:08:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F5 0xf5b0…85f8 crypto 60 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,392 (-24%) realized −$3,392 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -42% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -55% what you keep after slip
Net edge-55%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate33%20W / 40L
Whale WR45%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$234per market
Trades / day62.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,810
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-47.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -42.0% -47.5% 33% 30% -34.5%
≤30d 60 -42.0% -47.5% 33% 30% -34.5%
≤90d 60 -42.0% -47.5% 33% 30% -34.5%
all 60 -42.0% -47.5% 33% 30% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -47.5% 30% -34.5%
10% ← realistic here -52.5% 28% -40.8%
15% -57.1% 27% -46.5%
20% -61.3% 23% -51.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -42% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 45% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -53% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$179 vs −$185 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses20 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$234
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $615 +$337 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $618 −$600 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 25 $17 +$23 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $615 +$308 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $619 +$483 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $17 +$18 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $622 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $310 +$278 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 25 $310 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $305 +$92 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 25 $302 +$35 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $301 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $302 −$299 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $373 +$232 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 25 $309 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $17 +$22 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $17 +$21 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $301 +$28 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $620 +$553 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $192 −$186 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $7 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 24 $309 +$204 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $8 +$12 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 24 $465 −$450 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 24 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 24 $925 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $616 −$600 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 24 $25 −$24 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $615 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $618 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $615 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $619 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $622 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $310 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $310 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $305 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $302 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $301 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $302 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $373 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $309 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $17 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $17 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records