trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 27% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 27% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 25 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 40% | 4% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 4% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 4% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $31 | $31 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 08 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 06 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 17 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Chiefs vs. Titans | Dec 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 15 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Dec 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-21? | Dec 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4? | Dec 12 | $13 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days? | Apr 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 16 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Apr 14 | $12 | +$3 | +22% |