Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5a6…08bf
sports · 352 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$179 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$202 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$364
Realized+$202
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses151 / 163
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions40
Markets (closed)314 / 352
History coverage3d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1028.3
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 40 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$202
14 days+$202
30 days+$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 100¢ $3 $50 +$47 (+1566%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 79¢ 81¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 25¢ 24¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 77¢ 82¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+7%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ 100¢ $9 $18 +$9 (+97%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 39¢ 44¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+15%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 23¢ 18¢ $19 $14 −$5 (-24%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 64¢ 64¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Yes 77¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Brazil leading at halftime? No 71¢ 100¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+41%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 64¢ 100¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+55%)
Morocco leading at halftime? No 89¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Under 85¢ 84¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 56¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+108%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+64%)
Will CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal end in a draw? No 99¢ 99¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 56¢ 56¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 78¢ 76¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 91¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 76¢ 77¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 25¢ 23¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 95¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 52¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $14 −$13 -92%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $16 +$26 +159%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $9 −$3 -30%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 −$4 -56%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $9 +$4 +47%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $16 +$14 +88%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $24 −$5 -22%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 −$4 -44%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6 +$6 +100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $74 +$40 +54%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 −$3 -60%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 −$4 -61%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$6 +195%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 −$2 -55%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $25 +$4 +15%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $10 −$2 -24%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$71 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$141
other 6% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 81¢ $1 0m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 86¢ $1 1m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 1m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 28¢ $1 1m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 85¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 3m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 85¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 40¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 84¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 3m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 3m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 64¢ $1 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 +12.4% +1.7% 48% 44% -2.9%
≤30d 314 +12.4% +1.7% 48% 44% -2.9%
≤90d 314 +12.4% +1.7% 48% 44% -2.9%
all 314 +12.4% +1.7% 48% 44% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1028.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 44% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 40% -12.1%
15% -16.9% 35% -20.6%
20% -25.0% 29% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $364.36 · official $361.14 (match) · 3500 history records