Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf59e…f61a
crypto · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses75 / 46
Open positions2
Markets (closed)121 / 123
History coverage70d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes 35¢ 66¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+90%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 33¢ 35¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$17
other 22% $0
weather 17% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -4.1% -13.2% 63% 44% -12.8%
≤30d 112 -4.1% -13.2% 63% 44% -12.8%
≤90d 121 -3.7% -12.8% 62% 41% -11.0%
all 121 -3.7% -12.8% 62% 41% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 41% -11.0%
10% -21.2% 22% -19.5%
15% -28.8% 5% -27.3%
20% -35.8% 1% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.30 · official $14.30 (match) · 271 history records