trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 80% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -31.1% | -37.7% | 69% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -47.5% | -52.5% | 52% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | -47.5% | -52.5% | 52% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -57.1% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -61.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -65.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2,035 | $2,038 | +$3 (+0%) |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2,031 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 22? | Jun 23 | $2,027 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 20? | Jun 21 | $2,020 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20? | Jun 20 | $2,020 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 10? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 3? | Jun 04 | $2,078 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $2,075 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2? | Jun 02 | $2,067 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1? | Jun 02 | $2,066 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $2,063 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2,060 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30? | May 31 | $2,055 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27? | May 27 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24? | May 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22? | May 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 19? | May 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17? | May 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14? | May 15 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |