Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf58a…f6f4
crypto · 1991 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2,519 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,519 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$2,519
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses918 / 639
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1557 / 1991
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day231.7
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days+$1,040
14 days+$2,519
30 days+$2,519
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 43¢ 50¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$16 +312%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +115%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,674
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 822 +21.7% +10.1% 60% 59% +8.5%
≤30d 1557 +25.3% +13.4% 59% 58% +13.4%
≤90d 1557 +25.3% +13.4% 59% 58% +13.4%
all 1557 +25.3% +13.4% 59% 58% +13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover231.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.4% 58% +13.4%
10% ← realistic here +2.5% 57% +2.5%
15% -7.4% 56% -7.4%
20% -16.4% 55% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.03 · official $2.66 · 3500 history records