Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf58a…1c8d
other · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$52 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage188d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Over 16¢ 11¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-31%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Dec 07 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Dec 07 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
culture 41% −$30
other 38% −$17
sports 21% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Over 16¢ $15 4h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? BUY Yes 24¢ $17 188d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? BUY Yes 4¢ $30 188d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.07 · official $20.07 (match) · 4 history records