Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:40:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf57d…f322
weather · 300 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,277 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,292 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$331
Realized+$1,292
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses81 / 216
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)297 / 300
History coverage157d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days+$9
14 days+$53
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $150 $156 +$6 (+4%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $150 $135 −$15 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $47 $41 −$6 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 6? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 7? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 21? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 27? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 1? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 28? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 23? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 20? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 27? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 26? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $32 −$30 -92%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $43 −$42 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 11 $48 −$47 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 10 $36 −$20 -54%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $31 −$30 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10? Jun 10 $56 −$56 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 9? Jun 09 $76 +$119 +157%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 9? Jun 09 $74 +$67 +90%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 09 $51 −$33 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 8? Jun 08 $17 +$68 +402%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 07 $73 +$44 +61%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7? Jun 07 $48 +$84 +174%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 06 $26 −$25 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 06 $51 −$49 -96%
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? Jun 06 $31 +$80 +262%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $27 −$26 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 05 $39 +$37 +96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 04 $57 −$55 -97%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 03 $24 −$24 -99%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 03 $10 −$10 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 2? Jun 02 $28 −$28 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 2? Jun 02 $53 −$52 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1? Jun 01 $19 +$158 +840%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1? Jun 01 $58 −$56 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 1? Jun 01 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 31? Jun 01 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 31? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ma May 31 $13 +$11 +91%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ma May 31 $47 +$29 +61%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 31? May 31 $41 +$8 +21%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ma May 29 $28 −$23 -80%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ma May 29 $44 +$44 +99%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ma May 27 $37 −$37 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ma May 27 $18 −$17 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ma May 27 $16 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ma May 27 $15 −$14 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 26? May 26 $51 −$49 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 26? May 26 $25 −$24 -96%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Ma May 25 $30 −$28 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23? May 23 $72 +$167 +231%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23? May 23 $15 −$6 -36%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23? May 23 $41 +$50 +123%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma May 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 22? May 22 $23 −$6 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 22? May 22 $16 −$16 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 21? May 21 $3 −$3 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 21? May 21 $29 −$28 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 94% +$1,390
other 5% −$139
sports 1% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $11 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun SELL Yes 0¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju SELL Yes 1¢ $3 13h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $1 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 17¢ $7 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun BUY Yes 4¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun BUY Yes 4¢ $0 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -4.5% -13.6% 29% 29% -8.4%
≤30d 64 -10.8% -19.3% 30% 27% -10.9%
≤90d 188 +15.4% +4.4% 23% 21% +0.5%
all 297 +23.0% +11.3% 27% 25% +3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.3% 25% +3.9%
10% +0.6% 23% -6.1%
15% -9.1% 22% -15.2%
20% -18.0% 20% -23.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $331.38 · official $331.38 (match) · 2742 history records