Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:49:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf57c…1060
sports · 148 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses16 / 132
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)148 / 148
History coverage152d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 0 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 13 $50 −$1 -2%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $48 −$1 -1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $46 $0 -1%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 15 $96 $0 -0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Feb 19 $107 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? Feb 19 $100 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 19 $78 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 19 $371 $0 -0%
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 18 $103 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 18 $212 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 18 $105 $0 -0%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 18 $191 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 18 $112 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 18 $92 $0 -0%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 18 $52 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? Feb 18 $94 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 18 $176 $0 -0%
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 18 $131 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 18 $138 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 18 $36 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? Feb 18 $47 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 14 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 14 $53 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 14 $51 $0 -0%
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Ol Feb 14 $92 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 14 $215 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 14 $50 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 14 $97 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 14 $98 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 14 $233 $0 -0%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 14 $161 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 14 $57 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 14 $27 $0 -0%
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 14 $27 $0 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 14 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 14 $50 $0 -0%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 14 $104 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? Feb 14 $52 $0 -0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 11 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 11 $107 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Feb 11 $50 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 11 $4 $0 -0%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? Feb 11 $50 $0 -0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 09 $55 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? Feb 09 $97 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 09 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 09 $86 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 09 $96 $0 -0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb Feb 09 $52 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 29% −$3
politics 21% −$2
other 19% −$4
crypto 13% −$2
economics 8% $0
world 5% −$1
culture 5% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $49 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? BUY No 95¢ $50 5h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 91¢ $47 7d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 91¢ $48 7d
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 94¢ $46 15d
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 94¢ $46 15d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 96¢ $44 28d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 97¢ $44 28d
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 94¢ $51 113d
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 94¢ $51 113d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? SELL No 98¢ $50 113d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? BUY No 98¢ $50 113d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? SELL No 98¢ $50 113d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? BUY No 98¢ $50 113d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 96¢ $45 113d
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 96¢ $45 113d
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 92¢ $49 113d
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 92¢ $49 113d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? SELL No 96¢ $51 113d
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? BUY No 97¢ $51 113d
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? SELL No 94¢ $52 115d
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? BUY No 94¢ $52 115d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $50 115d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $50 115d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $52 115d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $53 115d
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? SELL No 95¢ $45 115d
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? BUY No 95¢ $46 115d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 94¢ $50 115d
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 94¢ $50 115d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -1.8% -11.2% 0% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 4 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 4 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -10.3%
all 148 -0.2% -9.7% 11% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 600 history records