Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:11:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
F5 0xf579…4295 crypto 919 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (165 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$341 (+9%) realized +$341 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate61%558W / 361L
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day165.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$256
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (165 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 919 +5.6% -4.5% 61% 61% -3.3%
≤30d 919 +5.6% -4.5% 61% 61% -3.3%
≤90d 919 +5.6% -4.5% 61% 61% -3.3%
all 919 +5.6% -4.5% 61% 61% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover165.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 61% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 61% -12.6%
15% -22.0% 61% -21.0%
20% -29.6% 61% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$341
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses558 / 361
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 919
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day165.3
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 919 Trades
no open positions (361 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1477 history records