Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf56f…6c44
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$51 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized+$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses29 / 25
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day3445.0
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$52
14 days+$52
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 53¢ 52¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 49¢ 48¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $151 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $146 −$10 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $150 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$11 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $142 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $122 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $219 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$8 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +2.4% -7.3% 54% 13% -8.7%
≤30d 54 +2.4% -7.3% 54% 13% -8.7%
≤90d 54 +2.4% -7.3% 54% 13% -8.7%
all 54 +2.4% -7.3% 54% 13% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3445.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 13% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 2% -17.5%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.5%
20% -31.7% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.87 · official $42.57 (match) · 3500 history records