Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T03:53:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
F5 0xf55a…7dba crypto 351 markets active 2h ago coverage 65d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$5,118 (+1%) realized +$7,091 · open −$1,973
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate99%346W / 2L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,169per market
Trades / day27.7pace
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$1,988now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$116
14 days+$746
30 days+$1,750
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$2,074
other 8% +$999
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 8% -7.5%
≤30d 113 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 8% -7.9%
≤90d 348 +1.2% -8.5% 99% 3% -8.4%
all 348 +1.2% -8.5% 99% 3% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 3% -8.4%
10% -17.2% 1% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.2% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.6% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$997) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$0 · ×294.67 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×50977.08 per $1 lost it wins $50977.08
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$1,988
Realized+$7,091
Unrealized−$1,973
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses346 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)348 / 351
History coverage65d
Avg bet$1,169
Trades / day27.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 348 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $3,744 $1,878 −$1,866 (-50%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $173 $88 −$86 (-49%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 99¢ 50¢ $44 $22 −$22 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $95 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 21 $23 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $165 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $37 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $155 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 19 $105 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $75 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $127 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $91 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $131 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $163 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $139 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $40 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$5 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $73 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $11 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $340 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $80 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $428 +$7 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $95 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $85 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $105 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $497 +$7 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $111 +$22 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $485 +$14 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $185 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $92 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $63 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $114 +$8 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$28 +48%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $782 +$8 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $61 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $78 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $35 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,557 +$228 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $131 +$18 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $169 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $211 +$11 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,174 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,574 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $173 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $95 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $165 47h
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 47h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $155 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $75 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $127 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $131 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $163 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $139 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $35 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $73 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $340 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $80 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $428 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $95 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $85 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $105 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $497 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,988.41 · official $1,988.41 (match) · 2238 history records