Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:15:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf54f…3374
crypto · 32 markets active 12d ago
1.5score
+$6,594 +61%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,594 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,594
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses26 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage11d
Avg bet$336
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$6,535
30 days+$6,594
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 01 $8,579 +$6,535 +76%
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3? May 28 $415 +$22 +5%
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3? May 27 $335 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 26 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 26 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? May 25 $88 +$6 +7%
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? May 25 $559 +$101 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 24 $6 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 24 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 24 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 24 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 24 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 24 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 24 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 24 $55 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 24 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 24 $12 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET May 24 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 24 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 24 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 24 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 24 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 24 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 24 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 24 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% +$6,671
crypto 7% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 30¢ $14 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 58¢ $68 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 65¢ $36 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $8 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 45¢ $8 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $252 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $95 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $139 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $4 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $30 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $15 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $24 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $6 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $45 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $15 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $12 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 60¢ $150 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 59¢ $33 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 59¢ $57 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 59¢ $29 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 61¢ $116 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 11d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 40¢ $8 15d
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? BUY Yes 40¢ $172 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 32 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 28% +46.0%
≤90d 32 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 28% +46.0%
all 32 -1.3% -10.7% 81% 28% +46.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 28% +46.0%
10% -19.3% 19% +32.0%
15% -27.1% 12% +19.3%
20% -34.2% 12% +7.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 266 history records