Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf54a…e25d
sports · 519 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$890 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,804 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$2,804
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses217 / 298
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)515 / 519
History coverage224d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 4 History 515 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 35¢ 100¢ $11 $31 +$20 (+186%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 27¢ 74¢ $5 $14 +$9 (+170%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 33¢ 7¢ $15 $3 −$12 (-79%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Knicks 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) Chelsea FC 38¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04? No 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner BNK FearX Youth 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Pacers Hornets 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? No 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-24? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Raptors (-8.5) Raptors 45¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Oh My God 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner Team WE 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Lakers Lakers 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 65¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Lakers 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) Knicks 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Warriors vs. Mavericks Jan 22 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 21 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) Jan 20 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag Jan 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Spread: Warriors (-5.5) Jan 20 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 20 $41 +$62 +150%
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1) Jan 19 $80 −$42 -52%
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) Jan 19 $102 +$14 +14%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19? Jan 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19? Jan 19 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1) Jan 19 $97 −$38 -39%
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1) Jan 19 $47 +$10 +21%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19? Jan 19 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) Jan 19 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1) Jan 19 $29 +$28 +98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jan 19 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jan 19 $34 −$34 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Kings Jan 19 $43 +$28 +65%
Spread: Rockets (-13.5) Jan 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Raptors vs. Lakers Jan 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Hornets vs. Nuggets Jan 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18? Jan 18 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 18 $40 +$42 +104%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18? Jan 18 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-18? Jan 18 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) Jan 18 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3) Jan 18 $3 +$2 +83%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-18? Jan 18 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 18 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) Jan 18 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 18 $18 +$7 +39%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 18 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jan 18 $37 −$17 -46%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Jan 18 $12 +$21 +178%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jan 18 $7 +$17 +240%
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17? Jan 18 $60 +$51 +85%
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17? Jan 18 $38 −$8 -21%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17? Jan 18 $44 −$4 -9%
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jan 17 $30 +$28 +94%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) Jan 17 $80 +$44 +55%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) Jan 17 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jan 17 $14 +$36 +257%
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jan 17 $13 +$47 +362%
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) Jan 17 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jan 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$1,313
other 36% −$1,448
world 0% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 24¢ $5 25m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 41¢ $10 35m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $10 47m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 31¢ $34 48m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 5¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $31 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 15h
Warriors vs. Mavericks BUY Warriors 63¢ $3 143d
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana BUY LGD Gaming 37¢ $6 143d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) BUY Weibo Gaming 32¢ $32 145d
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag BUY T1 Academy 53¢ $40 145d
Spread: Warriors (-5.5) BUY Heat 57¢ $41 145d
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1) BUY SK Gaming 24¢ $28 145d
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1) SELL SK Gaming 21¢ $38 145d
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1) BUY SK Gaming 28¢ $20 145d
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1) BUY SK Gaming 29¢ $22 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Karmine Corp 49¢ $21 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Karmine Corp 53¢ $21 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) BUY Karmine Corp 53¢ $44 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Los Ratones 34¢ $12 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) BUY Los Ratones 45¢ $9 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) BUY Los Ratones 46¢ $7 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Los Ratones 46¢ $27 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Los Ratones 34¢ $20 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) BUY Los Ratones 13¢ $15 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) SELL Los Ratones 13¢ $16 145d
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19? BUY No 10¢ $20 145d
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1) BUY Los Ratones 22¢ $10 145d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 515 -13.2% -21.5% 42% 41% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 41% -19.4%
10% -29.0% 41% -27.1%
15% -35.8% 40% -34.1%
20% -42.1% 38% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.60 · official $48.60 (match) · 1049 history records