Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf520…ccf9
crypto · 752 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$536 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$536 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$536
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses424 / 328
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)752 / 752
History coverage100d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 752 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121
7 days−$121
14 days−$127
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$30 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$17 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$18 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$91 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$12 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$28 +265%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$12 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$36 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$31 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$16 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$6 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$519
other 0% −$13
sports 0% −$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $47 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $47 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $94 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $49 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -12.0% -20.4% 57% 52% -14.4%
≤30d 156 -16.0% -24.0% 54% 49% -15.0%
≤90d 240 -20.2% -27.8% 52% 47% -16.9%
all 752 -13.0% -21.2% 56% 49% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.2% 49% -15.5%
10% -28.8% 39% -23.6%
15% -35.7% 29% -31.0%
20% -42.0% 21% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2019 history records