Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf51e…a9b7
crypto · 75 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$83 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses22 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)75 / 75
History coverage21d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$80
14 days−$83
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+285%)
Solana Up or Down on June 8? Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? Down 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 8? Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down on June 8? Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? Up 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down on June 10? Down 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? Up 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 8? Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$10 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$10 -47%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -57%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +285%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -78%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -85%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $20 +$19 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $20 +$19 +91%
Solana Up or Down on June 13? Jun 12 $20 +$19 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -78%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -92%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -78%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$13 -64%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$16 +153%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$10 -50%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +150%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +150%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +150%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $21 −$10 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $21 −$9 -45%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $21 −$11 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -89%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$43
other 11% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 18¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? SELL Down 19¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $6 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $6 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +12.3% +1.6% 25% 25% -14.4%
≤30d 75 +11.7% +1.0% 29% 25% -14.2%
≤90d 75 +11.7% +1.0% 29% 25% -14.2%
all 75 +11.7% +1.0% 29% 25% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.0% 25% -14.2%
10% -8.6% 25% -22.4%
15% -17.5% 25% -29.9%
20% -25.6% 24% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.00 (match) · 258 history records