Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:47:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf519…b7bb
crypto · 179 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$276 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$276 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$276
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses84 / 95
Open positions0
Markets (closed)179 / 179
History coverage31d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day14.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$129
14 days−$103
30 days−$264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$27 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$6 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$14 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$12 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$13 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $40 −$39 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $17 +$15 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$8 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$6 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $40 −$39 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$6 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$3 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 06 $12 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$6 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $11 +$8 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$276
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $19 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -16.9% -24.8% 45% 45% -32.2%
≤30d 175 -13.3% -21.6% 47% 47% -15.6%
≤90d 179 -13.7% -21.9% 47% 46% -15.9%
all 179 -13.7% -21.9% 47% 46% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 46% -15.9%
10% -29.4% 46% -23.9%
15% -36.2% 44% -31.3%
20% -42.5% 41% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 468 history records