Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf513…b46a
crypto · 1738 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$282 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$282 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses693 / 1044
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1737 / 1738
History coverage86d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day35.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1737 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$21
14 days−$756
30 days−$633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +130%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +135%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +169%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +107%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +143%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -13.6% -21.8% 38% 38% -17.0%
≤30d 658 -44.6% -49.9% 24% 24% -51.4%
≤90d 1737 -8.5% -17.2% 40% 39% -16.2%
all 1737 -8.5% -17.2% 40% 39% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 39% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 36% -24.2%
15% -32.3% 35% -31.5%
20% -39.0% 34% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.16 · official $2.73 (match) · 3500 history records