trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -29.2% | -36.0% | 33% | 17% | -11.4% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -28.9% | -35.6% | 38% | 27% | -13.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -28.9% | -35.6% | 38% | 27% | -13.6% |
| all | 26 | -28.9% | -35.6% | 38% | 27% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.6% | 27% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -41.8% | 15% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -47.4% | 12% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -52.6% | 8% | -36.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17? | Jun 17 | $99 | +$5 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$1 | -43% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 16 | $32 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 16 | $63 | −$4 | -6% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$2 | -68% |
| Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -51% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -29% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 08 | $2 | −$1 | -47% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | +$1 | +75% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 08 | $4 | −$2 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | +$1 | +96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$3 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |