Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf508…30a5
other · 574 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$755 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$789 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$702
Realized+$789
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses343 / 204
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions27
Markets (closed)547 / 574
History coverage17d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day175.9
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 27 History 547 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$102
7 days+$439
14 days+$852
30 days+$789
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $125 $124 −$1 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 55¢ $113 $118 +$5 (+4%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $98 $97 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $63 $62 −$1 (-1%)
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? No 49¢ 87¢ $33 $59 +$26 (+78%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+0%)
Will COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra end in a draw? No 72¢ 70¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 44¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? No 63¢ 96¢ $15 $23 +$8 (+52%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 40¢ $21 $20 −$1 (-5%)
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? No 62¢ 62¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 61¢ 60¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw? No 71¢ 69¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 73¢ 70¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-8%)
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 13¢ $32 $8 −$24 (-75%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? No 55¢ 56¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? No 68¢ 69¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? No 63¢ 58¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil end in a draw? No 71¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14? No 62¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $45 −$1 -3%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 +$6 +41%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $12 +$5 +44%
Will OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 +$9 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +44%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $67 −$12 -19%
Will Goiás EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +46%
Will Ceará SC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$2 +40%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $24 +$6 +26%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $43 +$10 +23%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $51 +$18 +36%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $24 +$10 +41%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $85 −$36 -42%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $15 +$15 +98%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $38 −$26 -68%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9 +$6 +65%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? Jun 10 $6 +$3 +46%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9 +$3 +32%
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 10 $8 +$3 +32%
Will Vila Nova FC vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 +$3 +44%
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw? Jun 10 $25 +$11 +45%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +32%
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 +$3 +48%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $15 −$10 -64%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 10 $17 +$4 +24%
Will FathUnionSport vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $49 +$28 +57%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $15 −$5 -31%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $40 +$7 +18%
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? Jun 09 $27 +$12 +42%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +38%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$3 +46%
Will Togo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $16 +$27 +164%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 −$8 -62%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $15 +$20 +134%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$446
crypto 21% −$138
sports 15% +$24
culture 6% +$427
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $3 9m
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $3 9m
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $3 9m
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $3 47m
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $3 47m
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $3 47m
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $3 47m
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 62¢ $3 47m
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 67¢ $3 1h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 67¢ $3 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 +5.0% -5.0% 63% 61% -1.9%
≤30d 547 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 59% -3.7%
≤90d 547 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 59% -3.7%
all 547 +0.1% -9.4% 63% 59% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover175.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 59% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 53% -12.9%
15% -26.0% 37% -21.3%
20% -33.3% 16% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $701.94 · official $702.26 (match) · 3500 history records