Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf504…0111
sports · 438 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,413 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,380 · open −$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$230
Realized−$2,380
Unrealized−$33
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses194 / 580
Est. fees paid−$130
Open positions15
Markets (closed)774 / 438
History coverage7d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day447.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 15 History 774 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,314
7 days−$2,365
14 days−$2,380
30 days−$2,380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 40¢ 48¢ $40 $48 +$8 (+20%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 47¢ 100¢ $14 $30 +$16 (+111%)
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 56¢ 50¢ $34 $30 −$4 (-11%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 43¢ 69¢ $14 $23 +$9 (+59%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos NC Dinos 49¢ 50¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 42¢ 100¢ $7 $15 +$9 (+136%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 69¢ 52¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-25%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 53¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$1 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 46¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 26¢ $19 $9 −$10 (-51%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 40¢ 31¢ $10 $7 −$2 (-22%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 28¢ 31¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Rafael Izquierdo Luque 63¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-13%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 24¢ 10¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-57%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 35¢ 17¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 29¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? No 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? No 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Europ Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Gifu win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
CB Murcia vs. Unicaja Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Despina Papamichail vs Hanyu Guo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pl Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will NK Osijek win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$229
other 5% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 22m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 22m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 22m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 48¢ $11 23m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $4 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 48¢ $8 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 44¢ $4 26m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 40¢ $2 27m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 40¢ $3 28m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 62¢ $7 28m
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Rafael Izquierdo Luque 63¢ $3 30m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 27¢ $2 32m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 74¢ $10 32m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 35¢ $3 33m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $3 36m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 38¢ $3 37m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $3 39m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 27¢ $2 40m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $2 42m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 73¢ $3 42m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 66¢ $4 43m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 39¢ $2 45m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 37¢ $1 45m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 40¢ $3 46m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $2 46m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 41¢ $4 47m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 27¢ $2 51m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 21¢ $1 55m
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $6 59m
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $6 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-53.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 763 -48.9% -53.8% 25% 20% -27.4%
≤30d 774 -48.1% -53.0% 25% 20% -27.4%
≤90d 774 -48.1% -53.0% 25% 20% -27.4%
all 774 -48.1% -53.0% 25% 20% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.0% 20% -27.4%
10% ← realistic here -57.5% 17% -34.3%
15% -61.6% 13% -40.7%
20% -65.4% 11% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $230.33 · official $230.34 (match) · 3500 history records