Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:13:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf502…705b
sports · 34 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$60 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses18 / 16
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage4d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$63
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$5 -65%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $13 −$6 -43%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$6 +92%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $6 +$3 +47%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$3 +52%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$3 -82%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$6 +136%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $11 +$5 +45%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$6 +112%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$11 +45%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 −$3 -41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$12 +39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $19 +$4 +23%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$1 +48%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$2 -70%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 57¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 15¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 26¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 33¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 43¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 42¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 57¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 27¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 16¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 35¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 45¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 50¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 49¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $6 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 88¢ $12 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 41¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 47¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 87¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 63¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $1 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 28¢ $1 21h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 29¢ $1 21h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $9 22h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 60¢ $2 23h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 67¢ $4 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 47% -24.3%
≤30d 34 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 47% -24.3%
≤90d 34 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 47% -24.3%
all 34 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 47% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 47% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 38% -31.5%
15% -34.0% 32% -38.1%
20% -40.5% 15% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records