trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | +29.1% | +16.8% | 44% | 44% | +36.9% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +29.1% | +16.8% | 44% | 44% | +36.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +29.1% | +16.8% | 44% | 44% | +36.9% |
| all | 25 | +29.1% | +16.8% | 44% | 44% | +36.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.8% | 44% | +36.9% |
| 10% | +5.7% | 44% | +23.8% |
| 15% | -4.5% | 44% | +11.8% |
| 20% | -13.9% | 44% | +0.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29? | Yes | 26¢ | 28¢ | $50 | $55 | +$5 (+10%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 29? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 28? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28? | Yes | 52¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29? | Yes | 36¢ | 34¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28? | Yes | 47¢ | 42¢ | $50 | $46 | −$4 (-9%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 28? | Yes | 30¢ | 13¢ | $50 | $22 | −$28 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26? | Jun 27 | $52 | +$84 | +163% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26? | Jun 27 | $52 | +$120 | +231% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $4 | +$11 | +257% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26? | Jun 26 | $52 | +$86 | +166% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju | Jun 26 | $5 | +$6 | +120% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25? | Jun 26 | $5 | +$8 | +149% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 26? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$4 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26? | Jun 25 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 27? | Jun 25 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $5 | +$10 | +202% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 25? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$6 | +142% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$9 | +202% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 24? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 24? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju | Jun 23 | $8 | −$8 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22? | Jun 23 | $8 | +$12 | +142% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22? | Jun 23 | $7 | +$19 | +257% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |