trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $13,911 | $13,993 | +$82 (+1%) |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $1,400 | $0 | −$1,400 (-100%) |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud | 15¢ | 0¢ | $1,439 | $0 | −$1,439 (-100%) |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $0 | −$1,000 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $2,623 | +$3,368 | +128% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $1,199 | +$1,419 | +118% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $11,401 | +$12,963 | +114% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $16,073 | +$17,848 | +111% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 08 | $5,154 | +$2,346 | +46% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $1,436 | −$1,400 | -98% |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $1,028 | −$1,000 | -97% |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 31 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $9,943 | +$13,821 | +139% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $9,924 | +$8,350 | +84% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 22 | $4,963 | +$5,013 | +101% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud | May 17 | $1,475 | −$1,439 | -98% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 03 | $6,208 | −$1,339 | -22% |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | May 03 | $2,972 | +$3,245 | +109% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $990 | +$2,043 | +206% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 05 | $1,486 | +$1,835 | +124% |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-11? | Mar 23 | $136 | −$136 | -100% |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 18 | $654 | +$5,742 | +878% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11? | Mar 11 | $97 | +$39 | +40% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +103.4% | +84.0% | 100% | 100% | +84.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +36.8% | +23.7% | 67% | 67% | +75.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +90.9% | +72.7% | 67% | 67% | +75.0% |
| all | 19 | +88.2% | +70.3% | 68% | 68% | +75.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +70.3% | 68% | +75.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +54.0% | 68% | +58.2% |
| 15% | +39.1% | 68% | +42.9% |
| 20% | +25.5% | 58% | +28.9% |