Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf4dc…0227
sports · 152 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$4,274 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,435 · open +$161
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$557
Realized−$4,435
Unrealized+$161
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses120 / 30
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$516
Open positions2
Markets (closed)150 / 152
History coverage24d
Avg bet$766
Trades / day39.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,075
7 days−$5,552
14 days−$5,027
30 days−$4,435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ 100¢ $340 $454 +$114 (+33%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ 100¢ $56 $103 +$47 (+85%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 88¢ 0¢ $438 $0 −$438 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 86¢ 0¢ $385 $0 −$385 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $938 −$760 -81%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $359 +$25 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $660 −$505 -77%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $576 −$226 -39%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $390 −$388 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,255 +$121 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,158 +$96 +8%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $440 −$438 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $510 +$34 +7%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $1,425 +$75 +5%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $1,305 +$176 +14%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,211 +$96 +8%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $793 +$105 +13%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $330 +$70 +21%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $693 +$346 +50%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $91 −$91 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $802 −$618 -77%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $181 −$181 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $398 −$343 -86%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $852 −$424 -50%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $719 −$403 -56%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $486 −$486 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $517 +$176 +34%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $355 +$162 +46%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $293 +$58 +20%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,092 −$1,029 -94%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,128 −$48 -4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,221 +$38 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,134 +$86 +8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,118 +$95 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $394 −$18 -5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $911 +$147 +16%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $949 −$43 -4%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $803 +$147 +18%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $720 +$83 +12%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $597 +$123 +21%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $269 −$257 -96%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $195 +$74 +38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,531 −$345 -22%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,311 −$1,310 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $560 +$29 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $421 +$4 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,086 +$32 +3%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $1,411 +$188 +13%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $561 +$22 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,410 +$59 +4%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $1,355 +$43 +3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $1,280 +$175 +14%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,989 +$31 +2%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $2,442 −$341 -14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$4,220
crypto 0% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $56 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $343 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ $384 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 63¢ $282 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 63¢ $34 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 63¢ $6 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 62¢ $36 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $80 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 94¢ $75 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 7¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 7¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $32 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $10 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $11 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $574 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 65¢ $24 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 77¢ $154 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 22¢ $177 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ $754 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 59¢ $350 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 2¢ $0 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 87¢ $131 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -23.1% -30.5% 54% 29% -24.3%
≤30d 150 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 21% -12.6%
≤90d 150 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 21% -12.6%
all 150 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 21% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 21% -12.6%
10% -21.9% 6% -21.0%
15% ← realistic here -29.5% 4% -28.6%
20% -36.4% 1% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $556.63 · official $556.63 (match) · 992 history records