trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +58.6% | +43.5% | 60% | 40% | -11.5% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -33.2% | -39.6% | 32% | 23% | -36.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -33.2% | -39.6% | 32% | 23% | -36.6% |
| all | 22 | -33.2% | -39.6% | 32% | 23% | -36.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.6% | 23% | -36.6% |
| 10% | -45.4% | 23% | -42.6% |
| 15% | -50.6% | 23% | -48.2% |
| 20% | -55.5% | 18% | -53.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 79¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 51¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 22¢ | 4¢ | $20 | $4 | −$16 (-82%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Yes | 51¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Jun 24 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$42 | +410% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 20 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Jun 18 | $25 | +$2 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 17 | $15 | +$7 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Jun 17 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 17 | $26 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | +$34 | +132% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -94% |