Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf4b9…7e45
other · 1217 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$569 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$613 · open −$64
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$914
Realized+$613
Unrealized−$64
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1180 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1203 / 1217
History coverage22d
Avg bet$228
Trades / day103.3
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit39%
Chart Positions 14 History 1203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$246
14 days+$400
30 days+$613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 1 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $154 $154 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 0 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $147 $147 +$0 (+0%)
CR Brasil leading at halftime? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $118 $118 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 1 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 1 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 0 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 1 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $69 $69 −$0 (-0%)
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $64 $64 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 51¢ $66 $33 −$33 (-49%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? No 96¢ 100¢ $29 $30 +$1 (+4%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 51¢ $47 $24 −$23 (-49%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 69¢ $28 $19 −$9 (-31%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 2 CR Brasil? No 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $45 +$3 +6%
Osorio vs. Oliveira: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Benjamin O'connell Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $339 +$4 +1%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $657 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $589 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1,853 +$2 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $171 $0 +0%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $573 +$1 +0%
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Iva Jovic vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $316 $0 +0%
Jovic vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $4,895 +$5 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $111 +$51 +46%
Set Handicap: Honda (-1.5) vs Ichikawa (+1.5) Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $111 +$1 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,957 +$2 +0%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $3,077 +$3 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $42 +$1 +3%
WTT - Women's Singles: Shuhan Fan vs Hoi Kem Doo Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $398 +$2 +1%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem Jun 11 $257 +$3 +1%
Spread: BC Lietkabelis Panevezys (-2.5) Jun 11 $78 $0 +0%
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys: O/U 172.5 Jun 11 $73 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 11 $39 +$1 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1,164 +$1 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $3,945 +$4 +0%
Landaluce vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $5,900 +$6 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi Jun 11 $1,287 +$4 +0%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova Jun 11 $64 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Kovackova (-1.5) vs Avdeeva (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
SC Recife to score first vs. Athletic Club? Jun 11 $56 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 11 $3,187 +$13 +0%
Ceará SC to score first vs. Avaí FC? Jun 11 $264 $0 +0%
Exact Score: SC Recife 0 - 2 Athletic Club? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Exact Score: SC Recife 0 - 3 Athletic Club? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$446
other 24% +$89
crypto 2% +$7
politics 1% $0
world 1% +$7
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $28 1m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $14 22m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $47 23m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 1 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $64 24m
CR Brasil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $59 24m
CR Brasil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 100¢ $59 24m
CR Brasil to score first vs. AC Goianiense? BUY Yes 100¢ $64 25m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 1 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $78 25m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $66 26m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 2 - 0 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $78 26m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 1 - 1 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $78 26m
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $14 26m
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL Yes 100¢ $701 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 1 CR Brasil? BUY No 99¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 0 - 2 CR Brasil? BUY No 92¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 1 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $154 1h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 0 CR Brasil? BUY No 100¢ $147 1h
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Benjamin O'connell BUY Andrew Johnson 100¢ $64 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $647 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $16 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 100¢ $38 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 100¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 100¢ $541 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $8 2h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 159.5 BUY Over 100¢ $64 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $25 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $50 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $31 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 100¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 3% -9.3%
≤30d 1203 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 3% -9.3%
≤90d 1203 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 3% -9.3%
all 1203 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 3% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 3% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 2% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 1% -25.9%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $914.19 · official $914.20 (match) · 3500 history records