trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 59¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $1 | 2d |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $1 | 2d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 50% | 50% | -35.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 50% | 50% | -35.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 50% | 50% | -35.7% |
| all | 2 | -29.2% | -35.9% | 50% | 50% | -35.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.9% | 50% | -35.7% |
| 10% | -42.1% | 50% | -41.8% |
| 15% | -47.7% | 50% | -47.4% |
| 20% | -52.8% | 0% | -52.6% |