trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 20% | 0% | -27.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 23% | -20.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 23% | -20.4% |
| all | 22 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 50% | 23% | -20.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -17.2% | 23% | -20.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -25.1% | 14% | -28.0% |
| 15% | -32.3% | 0% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 0% | -41.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 65¢ | 60¢ | $3,633 | $3,344 | −$289 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 15 | $5,918 | −$1,521 | -26% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 11 | $4,470 | −$663 | -15% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Jun 11 | $494 | −$27 | -6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,029 | −$184 | -18% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $63 | −$5 | -8% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Jun 05 | $2,149 | +$162 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $1,000 | +$339 | +34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 01 | $996 | +$136 | +14% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | May 31 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | May 31 | $132 | +$1 | +1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | May 31 | $105 | +$3 | +3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 31 | $350 | +$42 | +12% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | May 31 | $61 | +$15 | +25% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | May 31 | $81 | +$22 | +26% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $150 | −$113 | -75% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $300 | −$219 | -73% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $522 | −$178 | -34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 29 | $500 | +$22 | +4% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | May 29 | $59 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | May 29 | $103 | −$10 | -10% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: May | May 29 | $100 | −$56 | -56% |