trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +172.5% | +146.6% | 100% | 100% | +146.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +31.2% | +18.7% | 90% | 30% | +65.1% |
| all | 14 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 79% | 21% | +61.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.2% | 21% | +61.3% |
| 10% | -11.5% | 21% | +45.8% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 21% | +31.7% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 21% | +18.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $821 | $815 | −$6 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | No | 37¢ | 36¢ | $341 | $337 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $250 | +$430 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $184 | +$318 | +172% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | May 09 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $151 | +$97 | +65% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 07 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | May 07 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | May 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | May 07 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | May 07 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 15 | $167 | −$164 | -98% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Netflix reach $455 in January? | Feb 05 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Bill Clinton in jail by January 31? | Feb 05 | $22 | $0 | +1% |