trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $61 | $152 | +$91 (+150%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,222 | −$24 | -2% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on I | Jun 12 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | Jun 12 | $1,308 | +$1 | +0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 67% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 67% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 67% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 3 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 67% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.1% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -26.5% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.9% |