trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 8% | 4% | -3.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 4% | -3.2% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 4% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 4% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -28.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 12 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 18 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 21 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? | Oct 23 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Mar 30 | $86 | +$32 | +37% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 24 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | -12% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 12 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025? | Nov 30 | $59 | $0 | -0% |