trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 33% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 44% | 11% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +50.7% | +36.4% | 62% | 38% | -15.7% |
| all | 17 | +41.9% | +28.4% | 59% | 35% | -16.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +28.4% | 35% | -16.3% |
| 10% | +16.1% | 12% | -24.3% |
| 15% | +4.9% | 12% | -31.6% |
| 20% | -5.4% | 6% | -38.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $57 | $56 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $47 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 89¢ | 86¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 28 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 28 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Jun 28 | $78 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 26 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 26 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $34 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 28 | $33 | −$33 | -99% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 28 | $6 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 28 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 28 | $1 | +$8 | +809% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |