Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:25:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf424…9723
sports · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,444 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,444 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,444
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses54 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)34%
Est. fees paid−$2,471
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 76
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,356
Trades / day1051.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$705
7 days−$3,444
14 days−$3,444
30 days−$3,444
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner RUSTEC 58¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 5¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner CYBERSHOKE Esports 47¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 13¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner ASTRAL 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner K27 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 11¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 6¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 26¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$18 +4884%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$22 +331%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $39 −$138 -354%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 13 $11 −$21 -198%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $0 +$10 +2616%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $1 +$21 +1676%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$25 +1005%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$240 -2340%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $32 −$57 -178%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$28 +1530%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S Jun 13 $8 +$24 +306%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$165 -6790%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1283%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$2 -2764%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$4 -315%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $302 −$335 -111%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$6 +8411%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 13 $11 +$155 +1438%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $310 −$346 -112%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 13 $22 +$9 +42%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $1 +$7 +1107%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 13 $615 −$690 -112%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$2 +2714%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$10 -4198%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$7 +408%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $1 −$8 -1015%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $343 −$450 -131%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -92%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $0 +$2 +644%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $6 +$25 +388%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$3 +728%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 13 $2 +$51 +2292%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1010%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 −$2 -2265%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$8 +1128%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $597 −$16 -3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $712 −$27 -4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $315 +$162 +51%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $153 +$50 +33%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,576 −$106 -7%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $885 −$261 -30%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $683 +$8 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $940 −$14 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,507 +$34 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $852 −$25 -3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $871 +$20 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,852 −$95 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,409
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 99¢ $86 52m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 96¢ $68 52m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 89¢ $63 54m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 75¢ $66 54m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 57¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 80¢ $28 54m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $158 54m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 86¢ $30 55m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 72¢ $7 55m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 78¢ $11 57m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 73¢ $7 57m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 71¢ $57 58m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 77¢ $4 58m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 77¢ $63 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 97¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 95¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 50¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 24¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 49¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 48¢ $49 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 60¢ $63 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 16¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 90¢ $86 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 17¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 85¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 78¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 47¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 61¢ $58 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 66¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+190.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +221.1% +190.5% 47% 37% -12.0%
≤30d 114 +221.1% +190.5% 47% 37% -12.0%
≤90d 114 +221.1% +190.5% 47% 37% -12.0%
all 114 +221.1% +190.5% 47% 37% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1051.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +190.5% 37% -12.0%
10% +162.7% 28% -20.4%
15% ← realistic here +137.3% 25% -28.1%
20% +114.0% 23% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.11 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records