trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 56% | 50% | +11.1% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 56% | 50% | +11.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 56% | 50% | +11.1% |
| all | 18 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 56% | 50% | +11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.1% | 50% | +11.1% |
| 10% | -37.7% | 44% | +0.5% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 22% | -9.2% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 17% | -18.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 89¢ | 90¢ | $979 | $980 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $61 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $454 | +$110 | +24% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $444 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $258 | +$56 | +22% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $297 | +$91 | +31% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $120 | +$60 | +50% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $118 | +$32 | +27% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $195 | +$62 | +32% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |