Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:35:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf41d…6bff
crypto · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses48 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage9d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$68
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$70
other 6% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-30.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -26.7% -33.7% 51% 32% -26.4%
≤30d 93 -23.3% -30.6% 52% 35% -23.9%
≤90d 93 -23.3% -30.6% 52% 35% -23.9%
all 93 -23.3% -30.6% 52% 35% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.6% 35% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -37.3% 26% -31.2%
15% -43.3% 16% -37.9%
20% -48.9% 12% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 248 history records