Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf40e…7833
crypto · 99 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$42 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses56 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)99 / 99
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day128.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$10 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$11 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$49 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$47 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$59 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$43 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +180%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +2.6% -7.2% 57% 53% -5.4%
≤30d 99 +2.6% -7.2% 57% 53% -5.4%
≤90d 99 +2.6% -7.2% 57% 53% -5.4%
all 99 +2.6% -7.2% 57% 53% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 53% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 51% -14.5%
15% -24.2% 36% -22.7%
20% -31.6% 28% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 404 history records