Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3fa…6a9e
crypto · 615 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,054 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,053 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,661
Realized+$1,053
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses554 / 57
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)611 / 615
History coverage232d
Avg bet$455
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$272
14 days+$197
30 days+$245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $1,195 $1,196 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,052 $1,054 +$2 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14? No 100¢ 99¢ $316 $315 −$1 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $97 $97 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? Jun 12 $2,652 +$8 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $343 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,002 +$21 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,262 +$25 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $332 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $873 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $364 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $340 +$10 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $853 +$26 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,660 +$34 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $975 +$11 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 09 $675 +$19 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $347 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $151 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 08 $1,000 +$94 +9%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 7? Jun 08 $710 +$7 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? Jun 07 $1,373 +$12 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 7? Jun 07 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $285 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $685 −$23 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $433 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 7? Jun 07 $79 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 7? Jun 07 $205 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 6? Jun 06 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6? Jun 06 $447 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 06 $441 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Jun 06 $503 +$9 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $1,564 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $280 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $958 +$28 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $551 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $490 +$13 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4? Jun 03 $798 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Jun 03 $1,023 +$7 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 02 $688 −$220 -32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3? Jun 02 $989 +$8 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 02 $819 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1? Jun 02 $1,657 +$20 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? Jun 01 $815 +$4 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? May 31 $2,206 +$9 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? May 30 $257 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 30? May 30 $2,453 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29? May 29 $1,889 +$37 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? May 29 $531 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28? May 29 $1,250 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29? May 29 $629 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28? May 28 $2,377 +$27 +1%
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? May 26 $416 +$12 +3%
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? May 26 $248 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$756
other 2% +$316
world 0% −$8
sports 0% +$13
finance 0% −$15
politics 0% −$2
tech 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $694 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 99¢ $502 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $97 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $296 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $70 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $20 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $984 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,014 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,638 2d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $344 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1,023 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $178 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,079 2d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $127 2d
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $217 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $333 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $332 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? BUY Yes 98¢ $1,262 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 92¢ $618 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? SELL No 92¢ $264 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? SELL Yes 99¢ $222 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? SELL Yes 99¢ $142 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $350 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 91¢ $863 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 91¢ $5 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 91¢ $5 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $279 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $600 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +1.5% -8.2% 91% 0% -8.0%
≤30d 83 -0.1% -9.6% 90% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 294 -1.4% -10.8% 85% 0% -9.6%
all 611 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 1% -9.2%
10% -18.5% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.3% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,661.49 · official $2,661.18 (match) · 2608 history records