Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3f3…9e5b
crypto · 1275 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$595 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$594 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$594
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses565 / 767
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1332 / 1275
History coverage28d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day121.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1332 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$261
7 days−$334
14 days−$444
30 days−$594
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$9 -186%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: New Meta vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$1,038
sports 45% +$639
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 605 -13.7% -21.9% 45% 38% -19.9%
≤30d 1332 -16.7% -24.6% 42% 34% -11.8%
≤90d 1332 -16.7% -24.6% 42% 34% -11.8%
all 1332 -16.7% -24.6% 42% 34% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 34% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 24% -20.2%
15% -38.4% 16% -27.9%
20% -44.5% 11% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records