Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3ef…ca6b
sports · 104 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$148,952 -61%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150,581 · open −$674
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,634
Realized−$150,581
Unrealized−$674
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses75 / 475
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$4,973
Open positions18
Markets (closed)550 / 104
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2,348
Trades / day1745.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 18 History 550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150,581
7 days−$150,581
14 days−$150,581
30 days−$150,581
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 51¢ 100¢ $2,291 $4,439 +$2,148 (+94%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 76¢ 100¢ $1,285 $1,692 +$407 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 62¢ 100¢ $976 $1,566 +$590 (+60%)
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Prestige 72¢ 100¢ $1,112 $1,552 +$439 (+40%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 61¢ 78¢ $1,018 $1,302 +$284 (+28%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 71¢ 100¢ $500 $708 +$208 (+42%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Eintracht Spandau 73¢ 34¢ $911 $433 −$478 (-52%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 89¢ 100¢ $337 $379 +$41 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 69¢ 100¢ $169 $246 +$77 (+46%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 86¢ 100¢ $159 $185 +$26 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs Prestige 52¢ 100¢ $26 $51 +$24 (+93%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 22¢ 100¢ $4 $20 +$16 (+363%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner WLGaming Esports 24¢ 100¢ $4 $18 +$14 (+317%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 100¢ $8 $17 +$9 (+107%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 58¢ 0¢ $1,187 $10 −$1,177 (-99%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+75%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 51¢ 0¢ $1,091 $1 −$1,090 (-100%)
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs KPI Gaming 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 24¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season University War 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 36¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$246 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 51¢ 0¢ $343 $0 −$342 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $441 −$464 -105%
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Re Jun 12 $26 +$76 +287%
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1427%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$63 +11709%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 12 $1 +$73 +11845%
Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regu Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$297 +126994%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$29 +42689%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winne Jun 12 $178 −$178 -100%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$68 -137%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $952 −$977 -103%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Jun 12 $153 −$155 -102%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $44 −$56 -128%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $491 −$418 -85%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $96 +$35 +37%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $163 −$229 -140%
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$104 +1610%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Se Jun 12 $369 −$337 -91%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$131 -538%
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$15 -91%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,839 −$1,855 -101%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $287 −$287 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$4 -240%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Regular G Jun 12 $661 −$802 -121%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $30 −$58 -195%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $861 −$1,845 -214%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$192 -6857%
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $176 −$163 -93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,076 −$1,081 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,181 −$4,235 -101%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $539 −$908 -168%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$140 -341%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $584 −$814 -140%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$485 -461%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$46 -260%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ex-KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$8 -124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$6,507
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 90¢ $27 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 82¢ $92 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 82¢ $24 0m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $10 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $22 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 77¢ $67 2m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $67 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 80¢ $897 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 68¢ $2 3m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $63 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $297 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 76¢ $339 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D SELL Anubis Gaming 25¢ $36 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $4 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $4 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 70¢ $277 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $41 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 31¢ $28 4m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 33¢ $8 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 32¢ $158 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 32¢ $12 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 32¢ $2 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 35¢ $60 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 41¢ $25 5m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 52¢ $49 6m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 45¢ $16 6m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 45¢ $9 6m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 45¢ $40 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 63¢ $6 6m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 45¢ $57 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-50.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 550 -45.4% -50.6% 14% 11% -45.1%
≤30d 550 -45.4% -50.6% 14% 11% -45.1%
≤90d 550 -45.4% -50.6% 14% 11% -45.1%
all 550 -45.4% -50.6% 14% 11% -45.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1745.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.6% 11% -45.1%
10% -55.3% 8% -50.4%
15% ← realistic here -59.6% 6% -55.2%
20% -63.6% 4% -59.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,633.77 · official $12,630.45 (match) · 3500 history records