trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -50.9% | -55.6% | 20% | 20% | -74.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -43.8% | -49.1% | 23% | 23% | -69.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -22.2% | -29.6% | 31% | 31% | -56.4% |
| all | 17 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 35% | 29% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.1% | 29% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -35.0% | 24% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -41.2% | 24% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 18% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Yes | 8¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $62 | +$57 (+1149%) |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Austria | 46¢ | 46¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $7 | $6 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 19¢ | 18¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | May 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament? | May 31 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Cavaliers Total Games O/U 5.5 | May 26 | $5 | +$7 | +140% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | May 09 | $1 | +$4 | +300% |
| Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | May 09 | $20 | +$3 | +14% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Dec 20 | $1,100 | +$75 | +7% |