Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:40:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3ce…8bc6
crypto · 819 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,138 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,166 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,451
Realized+$6,166
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses810 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)817 / 819
Avg bet$641
Trades / day2655.0
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 4 History 817 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,166
7 days+$6,166
14 days+$6,166
30 days+$6,166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 99¢ 98¢ $2,970 $2,955 −$15 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $364 $363 −$1 (-0%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 99¢ 86¢ $118 $103 −$16 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $27 $27 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 0¢ 96¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $469 $0 −$469 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1,979 $0 −$1,979 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $536 $0 −$536 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $469 −$469 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,979 −$1,979 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,972 +$28 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $517 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $487 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $353 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,175 +$12 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $248 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $760 +$7 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2,666 +$27 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $46 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $394 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,974 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1,349 +$13 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $349 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,483 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2,972 +$28 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $190 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $364 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $990 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $709 +$7 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $314 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $465 +$4 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $271 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $427 +$4 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $522 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $868 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,303 +$13 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$8,435
other 5% +$238
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $119 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,972 0m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $123 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $487 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $131 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,972 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $380 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $112 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $70 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 817 +3.4% -6.5% 99% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 817 +3.4% -6.5% 99% 0% -8.5%
≤90d 817 +3.4% -6.5% 99% 0% -8.5%
all 817 +3.4% -6.5% 99% 0% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2655.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 0% -8.5%
10% -15.4% 0% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -23.6% 0% -25.3%
20% -31.1% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,451.34 · official $2,943.45 · 3500 history records