Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:50:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3c8…5110
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$29 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$28
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage227d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $92 $91 −$1 (-1%)
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $24 −$1 -6%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$1 -5%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$2 -6%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$2 -6%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$2 -7%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -11%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$2 -7%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $26 −$3 -10%
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? Oct 29 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% −$13
crypto 6% −$2
economics 5% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -7.4% -16.2% 0% 0% -16.1%
≤30d 8 -7.4% -16.2% 0% 0% -16.1%
≤90d 8 -7.4% -16.2% 0% 0% -16.1%
all 9 -17.7% -25.5% 0% 0% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.5% 0% -21.7%
10% -32.6% 0% -29.2%
15% -39.2% 0% -36.0%
20% -45.1% 0% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.95 · official $90.95 (match) · 20 history records