Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3b5…207d
crypto · 443 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses385 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)443 / 443
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day47.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 443 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$51
7 days−$50
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -21.6% -29.1% 66% 34% -31.2%
≤30d 443 -0.8% -10.3% 87% 40% -10.5%
≤90d 443 -0.8% -10.3% 87% 40% -10.5%
all 443 -0.8% -10.3% 87% 40% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 40% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 11% -19.1%
15% -26.7% 3% -26.9%
20% -33.9% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1035 history records